The SGs and the Offense of the Charlotte Bobcats 01/13/2008
When I realized the other day that only 2 players on the Bobcats roster had a positive +/- for the season, and one was Matt Carroll, despite his recent struggles, I was curious. So, I decided to look a bit further...but I am not David Thorpe or John Hollinger, so I do not have answers, just numbers.
With Matt Carroll on the floor, the offense scores at a rate of 104.9 points per 100 possession - without him, 96.6. For Jason Richardson, the offense is better with him than without, but not to the degree of the Hammer: 101.6 with, 96.7 without. Half the price, twice the production? No, not really - or even close. Jason Richardson is scoring points for his new employers at a rate of 21.8 points per 40 minutes, on 44.4% from the floor, 43.9% on 3's, and 71.4% from the line. When put together, Jason is scoring 1.19 points per field goal attempt. The same numbers for Matt? 14.3 points/40 mins, 42.4%, 39.2%, and 74.5% - good for 1.15 points per shot. So, Richardson has been more productive and more prolific, as a scorer.
How about as a playmaker? Well, Matt Carroll is a bit of a black hole for a guard actually - averaging only 0.8 assists per game, with an assist rate of 1.6 (assists per (possession plus offensive rebounds minus possessions that ended in free throws)). Jason Richardson is no Allen Iverson (that would have been a compliment, The Answer is averaging nearly 7 assists per game this year) but does manage to average 2.9 assists per game with an assist rate of 3.6.
Doing some deeper queries brought something back that interested me, though: When Matt is on the floor, the other primary players (aside from Crash) have higher shooting percentages. Does it come from defenses afraid to double off the "dead eye shooter"? Or is it just chance, and with time they would normalize? I do not know, but here they are, just for argument's sake:
| Player | FG% With Matt Carroll | FG% With Jason Richardson | FG% Overall |
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| Emeka Okafor | 59.4% | 52.7% | 52.0% |
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| Nazr Mohammed | 61.3% | 57.3% | 56.4% |
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| Raymond Felton | 41.2% | 38.1% | 39.4% |
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| Gerald Wallace | 44.6% | 45.6% | 46.2% |
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While this is definitely not a case of the cheaper alternative outperforming the name brand, still seems like the Bobcats might be wishing they had kept the receipt on the J-Rich trade. Right now, he looks a bit like a shirt you bought and tore the tags off too quickly, before realizing you did not get quite what you thought you had, but it was too late to do anything about.
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| JonnJonzz Says: | |
But....
On the 10th of january, you said....
"Since the start of December, the numbers get crazy: The offensive number with J-Rich is 104.3, and without 89.3. Seems like the adjustment period is over."
But now you say:
"Right now, he looks a bit like a shirt you bought and tore the tags off too quickly, before realizing you did not get quite what you thought you had, but it was too late to do anything about."
Hate to say it, but....which is it, my man?
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| Mon Jan 14, 2008 1:52 pm |
| David (Rufus on Fire) Says: | |
I'd bet the difference between Carroll and Richardson is because Carroll comes in for McInnis most of the time, and it's an effect of Felton running the offense instead. Richardson's not worth the money he's being paid, but Carroll's also probably overpaid, is better than Richardson only at catch-and-shoot, and not that much better, to boot. |
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| Wed Jan 16, 2008 12:17 am |
| Charlie White Says: | |
I would like to say that JRich has been on an developing team and has made the playoffs. Carroll is a role player not a decider in the overall picture of the game. Look at this way, take JStackhouse. He could be a started be he has never won. That is the differece between JRich and MCarroll. Pure shooters don;t get the other team in foul trouble. |
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| Wed Jan 16, 2008 8:45 am |
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